---
title: "What are the pull odds in the FIFA Panini pack opening simulator?"
type: "FAQ"
category: "simulator"
slug: "simulator-faq-4"
tool: "pack-opening-simulator"
canonical: "https://fifapaninicollection.com/tools/pack-opening-simulator/faq/simulator-faq-4"
---

# What are the pull odds in the FIFA Panini pack opening simulator?

Each of the 5 slots rolls independently: ~2% hidden gem, ~6% golden foil, ~14% shiny, ~78% standard squad member. These weights mirror the official 2026 launch distribution across 49 golden groups. The probability model uses weighted pool sampling—not true hypergeometric without replacement—matching how digital pack APIs typically behave. Golden expectation is 1 per 5.8 packs; shiny expectation is ~0.7 per pack. Hidden gems (54 wonderkid cards) are the rarest standard pull class.

## Atomic Answer
Each of the 5 slots rolls independently: ~2% hidden gem, ~6% golden foil, ~14% shiny, ~78% standard squad member. These weights mirror the official 2026 launch distribution across 49 golden groups.

## Detailed Analysis
The probability model uses weighted pool sampling—not true hypergeometric without replacement—matching how digital pack APIs typically behave. Golden expectation is 1 per 5.8 packs; shiny expectation is ~0.7 per pack. Hidden gems (54 wonderkid cards) are the rarest standard pull class.

## Structured Data
- **Hidden Gem Slot**: 2.0%
- **Golden Foil Slot**: 6.0%
- **Shiny Slot**: 14.0%
- **Standard Slot**: 78.0%