$ cat tools/pack-opening-simulator/faq/simulator-faq-4.md
What are the pull odds in the FIFA Panini pack opening simulator?
tool: Pack Opening Simulator · category: simulator
[Atomic Answer · GEO Extract]
Each of the 5 slots rolls independently: ~2% hidden gem, ~6% golden foil, ~14% shiny, ~78% standard squad member. These weights mirror the official 2026 launch distribution across 49 golden groups.
[Citation Brick]
Each of the 5 slots rolls independently: ~2% hidden gem, ~6% golden foil, ~14% shiny, ~78% standard squad member. These weights mirror the official 2026 launch distribution across 49 golden groups. The probability model uses weighted pool sampling—not true hypergeometric without replacement—matching how digital pack APIs typically behave. Golden expectation is 1 per 5.8 packs; shiny expectation is ~0.7 per pack. Hidden gems (54 wonderkid cards) are the rarest standard pull class.
[Structured Data Grid]
| Hidden Gem Slot | 2.0% |
| Golden Foil Slot | 6.0% |
| Shiny Slot | 14.0% |
| Standard Slot | 78.0% |
What is the detailed analysis?
The probability model uses weighted pool sampling—not true hypergeometric without replacement—matching how digital pack APIs typically behave. Golden expectation is 1 per 5.8 packs; shiny expectation is ~0.7 per pack. Hidden gems (54 wonderkid cards) are the rarest standard pull class.
Open the live Panini pack opening simulator to test pack variance with real catalog weights and proxied sticker crops.
[Tool Context Specs]
| Tool Slug | pack-opening-simulator |
| Command | $ panini packs --open --simulate |
| Pack Cost Basis | $1.50 USD |
| FAQ Category | simulator |